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Wet Bulb 35°C

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Posted (edited)

This Means Extinction

Long, recent and well-supported with links to science and studies. Conclusion:

There is quite a bit more that could be said, but in brief, it does little good to tell it like it is. The world would much rather be told something else altogether, such as “it’s not happening”, “the evidence is fabricated”, “the planet is cooling”, “we don’t have to worry” or some other such nonsense.

The truth is we are in extremely serious trouble as an entire species, and so is everything else on the planet. Almost nobody seems to understand how incredibly difficult survival will be under these temperatures or whether or not if it will be even possible.

For most species, the answer is “Not possible”. Extinction is already a certainty. For the remaining species, including humans, we will suffer terribly as we attempt to find enough food and water, events which are happening NOW in 2013 and will only worsen in the years ahead.

The reality is, we may very well not survive this at all. Most projections have proven to be hopelessly optimistic, with some truly catastrophic oversights, and even the ‘worst case scenarios’ being found to be far too optimistic.

Incidentally, with the caveat that one must consider the source (“Darwin Was Wrong!”) the New Scientist published a map back in 2009 of what the world might look like a mere 4 degrees centigrade warmer, a figure we are well on track to bust way past, as the linked article explains. Note that only the green areas are habitable. As for the magazine’s projection of vast solar arrays in the majority of the world that is uninhabitable, along with nuclear power, hydrothermal power and densely packed high-rise cities in the few livable regions left on the globe, I think we can safely say that such an idea is insane. Were the map’s outcome to occur, it is pretty much a dead certainty that what few humans who remained would be hunter gatherers again, or perhaps subsistence farmers. Also note that other studies contradict the “green” scenario for Siberia, suggesting instead that the whole melted region will be transformed into an uninhabitable peat bog giving off vast amounts of methane that is far more heat-trapping than carbon. Anyway, here is the map:

climate-change-map-new-scientist-2009.jpg

Edited by davidm
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Posted

Here is another (long) analysis collating lots of science data on this topic. Note this:

The World Bank (2012) and PriceWaterhouseCoopers (2012) have recently published reports which complement a wide range of scientific research which concludes that the world is presently heading for 4ºC or more of warming this century, and as soon as 2060. Reuters correspondent Michael Rose (2012) quotes IEA Chief Economist, Fatih Birol as saying that emission trends are “perfectly in line with a temperature increase of 6°C, which would have devastating consequences for the planet”

Notice that the World Bank and PriceWaterhouseCoopers are not Al Gore and the scruffy environmentalists that the wing nut global warming denialists love to castigate. Denying global warming and the menace of it at this late date is like denying that the sun rises as it is rising. Climate change is an established, ongoing and accelerating fact of history. Also note, above, the 6 centigrade rise in temps that we are "perfectly in line with," and compare that with a mere 4-degree rise which, on the New Scientist model, renders almost the entire world uninhabitable, except for Canada, Siberia, Greenland, New Zealand and part of a melted Antartarctica. Other models show a likelihood of temp rises far beyond 6 degrees, and within this century, too, possibly within a few decades.

Of course corporations and the U.S. government, and other governments, too, know exactly what's in store. I'm sure the U.S. has dusted off plans, which really exist, to invade Canada and relocate the U.S. populace there. :heh: :heh:

Other studies show that by the 2090s and perhaps as early as the 2060s or even before, large parts of the world will, for at least part of the year, be near, at or above 35 degrees centigrade as measured by a wet bulb thermometer, hence the thread title. At Wet Bulb 35 or above, humans and all other mammals will die.

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Posted

All I can say, is that in Futurama they just mined Commit Halley for ice and dropped a big cube in the ocean every once in a while.

I am sure that is the easiest solve we have.

-Scott

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