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NFL 2015 Super Bowl Picks


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Posted (edited)

Going 7-3 in the playoffs is nice, but it means zippo if you get the biggest game of the year wrong. :finger:

New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks (+1)

This might be the closest Super Bowl game of all time – even Las Vegas casinos are clueless. The line opened at -2.5 for the Seahawks, and as of this writing, it swung to Patriots, -1.

Patriots' strongest suit is their adaptability – they can run smash-mouth with RB Blount or dissect defenses with Brady's superior passing acumen. Moreover, the Patriots will be twice as fired up after all that deflation accusations from last week. The biggest Patriots weapon, TE Gronkowski is nearly unstoppable – after he gets the ball. The Seahawks secondary is built for that – ball denial. They have the players to challenge him on the release and play him straight up prior to the pass. Safeties Chancellor & Thomas will at least minimize the Gronk, and force Brady to look elsewhere at times. After all the Seahawks are working on a historic defense (finished first in three straight seasons). They must pressure Brady at the line, force him into coverage sacks. DE Avril and Bennett are capable of destroying the Patriots' OL, while the Legion of Boom will erase the Patriots' WR corps out of existence.

The Seahawks will not survive an old-fashioned shootout with the Patriots, meaning they'll have to rely heavily on Beast Mode to control the game. The Patriots will be forced to bring their safeties closer into the box to stop RB Lynch. Although the Seahawks' WR corps are bland and nondescript, and will be completely blanketed by the superior Patriots secondary, QB Wilson will buy time scrambling until they get open or gallop for the first down, and force the Patriots' defense to sacrifice a linebacker as a spy. Best of all - Russell Wilson is equally as clutch as Brady has been.

Adding all these up spells a Seahawks victory, first back to back Super Bowl titles in a decade.

Seattle over New England, 21-20

Edited by The Heretic
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Posted

Seattle deflates New England's balls, 38-23. Another ho-hum Stupor Bowl, in which the TV ads are much more entertaining than the game.

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Posted

The keys to the game:

1) Can the Patriots' o-line protect Brady, especially in the middle? If not, then there will not be enough New England offense to win the game.

2) Does Seattle commit itself to being a running team? The Seahawks must run Lynch over and over from the beginning. Also, Wilson should not even hesitate to run when he gets a chance. If Seattle runs, Seattle wins, because, well, as The Heretic notes, the Patriots DBs should have no trouble with the Seahawks receivers - unless the Pats utterly fail to get pressure on Wilson.

Seattle wins 23-20.

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Posted

Seattle deflates New England's balls, 38-23. Another ho-hum Stupor Bowl, in which the TV ads are much more entertaining than the game.

If you come as close to picking the correct score as you did last year, that will be proof that the games are fixed. And that's all I have to say about that.

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Posted (edited)

Heh, if the Vegas casinos picked right and everybody bet against them and the casinos won then that'll be a sure sign the game was fixed in advance. But the casinos had Denver as slight favorites last year. :deal:

Now this year the Patriots are favorited -- and we all know what history teaches us. :mrgreen:

Edited by The Heretic

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Posted

Seattle deflates New England's balls, 38-23. Another ho-hum Stupor Bowl, in which the TV ads are much more entertaining than the game.

If you come as close to picking the correct score as you did last year, that will be proof that the games are fixed. And that's all I have to say about that.

:heh:

Never discount that I have inside info. :deal:

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Posted

I can't lose this year: I've supported the Seahawks since the NFL came to UK shores and everyone picked a team at random, and I've followed the Patriots since I learned the rules and started paying attention. That said, I think Wilson is the key to the game: if he hesitates to run, like he did against Green Bay, and the Patriots get ahead then I don't think the Seahawks will be able to keep up. However, if he runs then the Patriots will struggle to stop him and will have to bring their safeties up. The Seahawks will try to jam Edelman and Gronk at the line to stop short crossing routes, but I expect Belichick to run more changes to eligible receivers and create lanes in the confusion. I also think Brady wants this really, really badly.

To be different, and because Wilson needs to run more, I'll go with the Patriots 28-17.

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Posted

The Pood Hath Spoken eh David?

My prediction, 17-10 Patriots take it.

-Scott

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Posted

A resident of Greater Seattle picks the Patriots?? :eek3:

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Posted

It is the classic reverse jinx, Davidm. :grin2:

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Posted

I think it will be close, but Seattle will pull it out for back-to-back bowls.

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Posted

I am hosting a SB party at my house and you're all invited. We will order pizza and cook rare meats on the grill in the backyard. Beer and wine will be a'plenty.

No pets or pissing on the rug. :hand:

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Posted

I will be there virtually. :nod:

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Posted

I told Paul we should Skype during the game so I can keep him up, as it will be 1AM to 4AM for him.

So, maybe we can do that too. :) would be fun.

-Scott

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Posted

I am hosting a SB party at my house and you're all invited. We will order pizza and cook rare meats on the grill in the backyard. Beer and wine will be a'plenty.

No pets or pissing on the rug. :hand:

The invite came too late!!! We'd already invited folks over. Can't very well have them show up and have no one there to answer the door. Right?

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Posted

It's Stupor Sunday! :clap2:

Everyone kick back, relax, have some :popcorn: , and watch the Hawks demolish the Pats! :muahaha:

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Posted

:popcorn:

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Posted

Jesus. Christ.

Can we say, "run the ball?" :faint:

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Posted

Best Super Bowl in years. Play of the game: Belichick refusing to call timeout with seconds to play, panicking Carroll into running a pass play to eat up a few more seconds. Afterwards, Butler said Belichick had coached him to expect stacked receivers in that situation and Butler had been beaten several times on that play in practice, so he learned to jump the route. Amazing.

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Posted

Pete Carroll's explanation for that play is akin to saying "they knew Michael Jordan was getting the ball so we gave it to Dennis Rodman."

:banghead:

:godot:

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Posted

Absolutely the most baffling play call I have seen. Absurd. Great game though.

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Posted (edited)

Players: "Well, this is a no-brainer. 1. Give the ball to Beast Mode. 2. Drink champagne."

Coach: 'No no no no no no no, I wanna call a paaaasssssss!!! That way maybe we get intercepted and I look like the biggest horse's ass in football history. Who wouldn't want that distinction?" :heh:

Edited by davidm
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Posted

Pete Carroll on his decision to throw: "I hate that we have to live with that."

Players: "What you mean 'we'," Kemo Sabe?" :noidea:

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Posted

Some particularly noteworthy plays:

1) The Gronkowski touchdown. What were the Seattle coaches thinking?!?! The LBs had been doing a good enough job on Vereen out of the backfield. Sure, they weren't breaking up the passes to the flat, but the LBs were doing a good job of holding those plays to about four yards a pass. Then, Gronk lines up split wide right; the TV announcer remarks that Sherman is playing the slot - meaning inside, since there was no slot receiver as I recall, but Sherman was basically in position to cover Vereen on his next out route - so that a LB is left alone on Gronkowski. And the Seattle coaches did NOT call a timeout?!?!?! They could have kept the same alignment after the timeout (assuming the Pats lined up the same way) and simply have emphasized that the priority was for a safety to have coverage over the top to help out the LB. That's what the Seahawks did in the second half on another play when Gronkowski was lined up wide with a LB on him again, and Gronkowski ran a square in instead of going downfield like he did for the earlier TD.

2) The Seattle touchdown right before halftime. What was Logan (I think that's the DB's name) thinking? You don't back up into the end zone!!! You have to be aggressive. Even if you get called for pass interference, there will definitely only be enough time left for one play, and maybe Carroll decides not to gamble with the clock twice in a row so that you give up only a FG instead of a TD.

3) There were about seven minutes left in the game. Seattle had just gotten the ball back on a punt. What do they do? Incompletion. Ineffective run. Incompletion. Horrendous clock management. It reminded me of what the Packers did two weeks ago with about five minutes left in their game with Seattle. If the Seahawks had simply accepted the fact that they have one of the very worst receiving corps in the league while having one of the best RBs - if they had not been so stupidly arrogant - they'd have won.

4) The Butler INT was great for two reasons. First of all, it highlights how very important studying is in football. Just like Porter's pick-six of Manning in Super Bowl XLIV came about because he knew what Wayne's route was going to be after having studied film over and over, Butler knew precisely what route the Seahawks would be running. Secondly, Carroll's face when he realized that Butler had intercepted the Wilson pass was a look for the ages!!!

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