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2015 NFL Week 12 Picks


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Posted

With Thanksgiving right around the corner, there's nothing like sitting down with family and amazing food, while an NFL team is on the 70 inch HDTV in the background. After a couple of tough weeks, I hit .500. Slowly but surely, I'm climbing back to respectability.

:cheers:

 

Game of the Week

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)

Even though RB Lynch might be out for the season, the Seahawks have a great replacement in RB Rawls, who's been the better player so far this year. The Steelers are solid, but they are too decimated on offense to pose a serious problem for the Seahawks' defense. :finger:

Seattle by 3

 

Thanksgiving Game(s) of the Week

Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions (even)

Yes, those hapless Lions are on a rampage, having won two in a row. Also? They usually play well on Thanksgiving, having scored 105 games in the last 3 turkey day games. They're facing who? QB Sanchez? :lol:

Detroit by 6

 

Carolina Panthers @ Dallas Cowboys (+1.5)

What seems the easiest pick this week, the Panthers are being severely underestimated by the Vegas oddmakers. Although QB Romo is back and the Cowboys should be better, the Panthers have won 14 regular season games in a row. No reason to suddenly jump ship. Even if QB Romo has won 7 games in a row. Even if his last 16 games is better than the Panthers... :scratch:

Carolina by 3

 

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

The halftime retirement of Brett Favre will get the crowd properly lubricated. But more importantly, the real Packers finally woke up from their mid season swoon last week against the Vikings, and should keep things going against the Bears.

Green Bay by 7

 

Rest of the Week

New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans (-2.5)

The Texans are rolling, especially on defense -- allowing 9.7 points a game in the last 5 weeks. Plus the Saints don't have anyone capable of covering WR Hopkins, who destroyed all-world cornerback Revis last week. As long the Saints keep a balanced offensive attack with RB Ingram and quick passing, QB Brees will outscore the Texans. But they won't be able to protect Brees from unholy terror J.J. Watt. :freakout:

Houston by 4

 

St. Louis Rams @ Cincinnati Bengals (-9.5)

The last two games, both losses for the Bengals, have exposed an old weakness: QB Dalton still does not handle the pass rush well. When he's getting protection, he's the best QB in the league. The Rams do have a fantastic front four, with DE Quinn and DT Donald, who will pose problems. Unfortunately? Nobody knows who's going to suit up at QB for the Rams.

Cincinnati by 6

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons (-2.5)

After opening the year with 5-0, the Falcons are in danger of free-falling out of the playoffs. They've begun their annual choke, having blown 14 point lead in the second half last week. Although the Vikings went belly-up against a fired up division rival, they should easily take this game.

Minnesota by 4

 

NY Giants @ Washington Racial Slur (+1.5)

The Giants are in first place only because someone has to, not because they deserve it. If this game was at New York, QB Cousins would've pulled a Delhomme (throw 5 picks). Since the Skins haven't lost at home since week 1, expect Cousins to throw for 300 yards and 3 strikes. I predict the line will move to +3.5 by Sunday morning. :deal:

New York by 3

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)

The Bucs have looked good recently, but they've beaten exactly who? Sanchez? Cassel? Pssh. The Colts are still decent, thanks to QB Hasselbeck snatching victories out of the jaws of defeat. But there's no margin for error left.

Indianapolis by 3

 

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

All of sudden, the Chiefs look legitimate, and they might even run the table from now on, thanks to the generous number of cupcakes remaining. As for the Bills, they're going with QB Manuel in the loudest stadium in sports. And. That'll. Be. All. She. Wrote.

Kansas City by 6

 

Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans (+1.5)

Yes, the Raiders are improved this year, but they still need some seasoning before they're ready for the playoffs. It doesn't look like the Raiders will catch either the Broncos or the Chiefs. They'll take this game, but the line looks like a trap.

Oakland by 3

 

(The Future Former) San Diego Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5)

Yes, the Chargers are getting 4 points versus the lowly Jaguars. That's how bad they've gotten, no thanks to a heavily decimated roster and some chemistry dysfunction on the sidelines.

Jacksonville by 5

 

Miami Dolphins @ NY Jets (-4.5)

Jets have fallen back to the pack after a nice 4-1 start. Coach Bowles lit into the team this past week, hoping to spark a fire under them for the playoff run. The Dolphins are solid, if nothing spectacular under interim coach Campbell. Expect a low scoring affair. :boring:

New York by 3

 

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 40 Whiners (+11.5)

Even though the Cardinals have beaten the Seahawks and the Bengals in the last two weeks, their defense has slipped a bit. Luckily, their offense bails out the team with big plays - the cardinals lead the league with 6.5 yards per play, and 54 plays of 20 plus yards this season. The 40 Whiners are just playing out the string.

Arizona by 14

 

New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos (+5.5)

What was originally slated as Game of the Year has fallen down a few categories once QB Manning was benched, having lost the battle every athlete will face: Father Time. The Patriots will still be fired up regardless, but the Broncos might steal this game on the strength of their defense, taking full advantage of the Patriots' decimated offense.

New England by 1

 

Shame of the Week

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (-2.5)

Welcome to the Season from Hell, Ravens, one that will bleed over to next season. QB Flacco and RB Forsett are not available, making the Browns the clear favorite. Even without Johnny Football. But why is this Shame of the Week on Monday Night? :banghead: 

Cleveland by 3

 

Last Week: 7-7

Season to Date: 98-61

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Posted

New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans (-2.5)

The Texans are rolling, especially on defense -- allowing 9.7 points a game in the last 5 weeks. Plus the Saints don't have anyone capable of covering WR Hopkins, who destroyed all-world cornerback Revis last week. As long the Saints keep a balanced offensive attack with RB Ingram and quick passing, QB Brees will outscore the Texans. But they won't be able to protect Brees from unholy terror J.J. Watt. :freakout:

Houston by 4

Keep Watt on the defensive left and go after Strief at RT all day, and Brees will have a tough time of it. Kikaha reports that his ankle is improved. No word yet on Ellerbe. Cam Allen make the Saints' defense any better? Doubt it -- until I see otherwise. So, yeah, Houston wins.

 

Let's see what - is any - contrarian picks are available this week.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)

The Bucs have looked good recently, but they've beaten exactly who? Sanchez? Cassel? Pssh. The Colts are still decent, thanks to QB Hasselbeck snatching victories out of the jaws of defeat. But there's no margin for error left.

Indianapolis by 3

If Indy turns the ball over as much as they did early to Atlanta, then the Bucs win. Regardless, I'm thinking that the Bucs are currently better than the Falcons; therefore, Tampa Bay wins.

 

Ugh, the pickings are mighty slim again this week. Got to dig deeper to find more.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)

Even though RB Lynch might be out for the season, the Seahawks have a great replacement in RB Rawls, who's been the better player so far this year. The Steelers are solid, but they are too decimated on offense to pose a serious problem for the Seahawks' defense. :finger:

Seattle by 3

This is a tough one, but anything is possible in the NFL, and that's the reason why Pittsburgh wins.

 

Lemme see if I can come up with one more.

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions (even)

Yes, those hapless Lions are on a rampage, having won two in a row. Also? They usually play well on Thanksgiving, having scored 105 games in the last 3 turkey day games. They're facing who? QB Sanchez? :lol:

Detroit by 6

The Eagles are horrible. The Lions are terrible. But Philadelphia wins because ... because ... because Detroit doesn't have enough offense? Sheesh.

 

Some other thoughts:

 

New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos (+5.5)

What was originally slated as Game of the Year has fallen down a few categories once QB Manning was benched, having lost the battle every athlete will face: Father Time. The Patriots will still be fired up regardless, but the Broncos might steal this game on the strength of their defense, taking full advantage of the Patriots' decimated offense.

New England by 1

It's hard to imagine Denver generating much offense, and it is especially difficult to imagine them producing enough points. Should be close, and that will give the Broncos a chance.

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons (-2.5)

After opening the year with 5-0, the Falcons are in danger of free-falling out of the playoffs. They've begun their annual choke, having blown 14 point lead in the second half last week. Although the Vikings went belly-up against a fired up division rival, they should easily take this game.

Minnesota by 4

I'll admit this about Atlanta: They have been tough against the run, and, if that trend continues, then the Vikings will have to rely more on Bridgewater, and therein lies the Falcons' chance of winning.

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