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2015 NFL Week 15 Picks


5 posts in this topic

Posted (edited)

:banghead: When you slip from the heights, you hit a few rungs on your way to mediocre-ville, looking for excuses. But sooner or later, you run out of them and it's time to pick yourself back up.

 

Game of the Week

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants (+5.5)

Well, well, well. The Giants are giant-killers, and they're facing another undfefeated team in the Panthers. The Giants beat the 13-0 Broncos in 1998. and the 13-0 Bears in 1934. And the 18-0 Patriots in 2007. For what it is worth, it's nearly impossible for any team to finish a season undefeated in the NFL. Ever.

Carolina by 4

 

Thursday Game of the Week

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ St. Louis Rams (even)

A real snooze-fest, except for two brilliant rookies in QB Winston and RB Gurley. At least the Buccaneers are still fighting, as evidenced by their squabble on the sidelines, whereas the Rams have packed it in.

Tampa Bay by 3

 

Rest of the Week

Denver Broncos @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

It won't matter if QB Manning is back, cuz the Steelers look like the hottest team in the league, having scored 30 plus in 5 straight games. And the Broncos aren't known for scoring lately (only 1 measly touchdown in the last 2 games). Yes, the Broncos have a great defense, but the Steelers put up 30 on the 2nd ranked defense in the Seahawks.

Pittsburgh by 1

 

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5)

Which Eagles will show up: the one that beat the Patriots, or the one that went belly-up against Detroit and Tampa Bay? Then again, I doubt it matters cuz the Cardinals are completely locked in with the number 1 offense in the league. They just might be the most well-rounded team in the entire league. 

Arizona by 3

 

 

Lame of the Week

 

New York Jets @ Dallas Cowboys (+2.5)

No matter what the standings say, the Cowboys are cooked with the incompetent QB Cassel. Moreover, the Jets are tied in a threeway with the Steelers and the Chiefs for the playoffs, so they have more to play for.

New York by 6

 

Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots (-14.5)

Although this game is easily the Lock of the Week, stranger things have happened. This year. With the Patriots. Against a team that already had been blown out by 30 twice.

New England by 11

 

Buffalo Bills @ Washington Racial Taunt (even)

Every week, QB Cousins is improving, and thanks to a godforsaken division, the Taunt has a shot at the playoffs. Then again, we are overdue for a multiple interception game from Cousins. As for the Bills, they're undisciplined (first in penalties) and are expected to miss the playoffs. Again. For the 16th straight year. :godot: 

Washington by 4

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens (+7.5)

Alex Smith has evolved into the perfect Coach Reid QB: a ball-control QB that never turns the ball over (1 pick in the last 10 games). Moreover, the Chiefs are dominating teams with defense and running the ball. And the Chiefs have a shot at the division, believe it or not.

Kansas City by 10

 

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (no line)

Although both teams are tied for first place in the division, the Colts are collapsing worse than my picks. Both teams are going with third string quarterbacks, even though this is a high stakes game: whoever wins will likely make the playoffs. And I doubt QB Luck's first game back is in a game against the Unholy Terror known as J. J. Watt. But he's not exactly 100%.

Indianapolis by 3

 

 

Atlanta Falcons @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5)

The Jaguars have developed a powerful passing attack with QB Bortles and WR Robinson & Hurns. Expect the Falcons to continue their complete freefall, no thanks to QB Ryan's missing confidence. The Falcons' line won't block anything, and their receivers won't get open. Since Ryan is immobile, he's doomed every game. 

:behead: 

Jacksonville by 3

 

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-5.5)

A tough stretch for the Vikings, but they've beaten the Bears in Chicago a month ago. That should get them over the slump. All they have to do is win out, and they'll steal the division from the Packers.

Minnesota by 4

 

Green Bay Packers @ Oakland Raiders (+2.5)

All the Packers have to do is block Khalil Mack, who sacked Osweiler 5 times last week. After all, they got their running game going last week, which will take pressure off QB Rodgers. But they are notorious for being inconsistent away from the safe haven of Lambeau Field. Then again, the Raiders are consistently inconsistent, from week to week, irrespective of where they play. And since they were pretty good last week against the Broncos...

:deal:

Packers by 3

 

Cleveland Browns @ Seattle Seahawks (-14.5)

All of a sudden, the Seahawks have returned to their Super Bowl form. Even better yet, QB Wilson has reached another level in recent weeks (16 TDs and no picks in the last 4 games). And the Browns?

:grin2:

Seattle by 13

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ San Francisco 40 Whiners (+4.5)

Even though QB Dalton doesn't need thumb surgery, the Bengals don't need him to beat the pathetic 40 Whiners. :finger: 

Cincinnati by 5

 

Shame of the Week

 

Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers (even)

Both teams suck. But this might be the Chargers' last game in San Diego.

San Diego by 2

 

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

Another suck-ass matchup on Monday Night? :boring:

Both teams will score early & often. Since the Saints are 12-4 on Monday nights with Coach Payton...

New Orleans by 3

 

Last Week: 8-8

Season to Date: 127-80

Edited by The Heretic
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Posted

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

Another suck-ass matchup on Monday Night? :boring:

Both teams will score early & often. Since the Saints are 12-4 on Monday nights with Coach Payton...

New Orleans by 3

This will be an excellent game, because such is nearly always the case with the Saints in prime time. The Saints are down to 2 RBs now that KR Marcus Murphy is out for the year, depriving the Saints of his RB prowess of 1 carry for 0 yards this season. The 2 RBs are Hightower and Spiller, and Spiller doesn't seem to count in the Saints' plans. I really have no idea what the Saints would do if Hightower up and got himself hurt. The Detroit defense will be tough; the Saints defense will be okay - assuming Ellerbe plays. Breaux has only given up 1 yard to receivers in the last three games (no doubt because opponents go after Browner as well as Vacarro when he has to cover the TE one-on-one). New Orleans wins the game of the week.

 

There are no really exciting contrarian picks this week, but at least there are some contrarian picks to make.

 

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (no line)

Although both teams are tied for first place in the division, the Colts are collapsing worse than my picks. Both teams are going with third string quarterbacks, even though this is a high stakes game: whoever wins will likely make the playoffs. And I doubt QB Luck's first game back is in a game against the Unholy Terror known as J. J. Watt. But he's not exactly 100%.

Indianapolis by 3

Sure, Watt is injury hampered, and, sure, the Texans offense helps out its defense about as well as the Denver offense helps out its defense, but the Houston defense will do just enough to see to it that Houston wins, and this will put Indianapolis out of the picture, because Jacksonville will defeat Atlanta, thereby making next week's Jacksonville at New Orleans game critically important for the final week's Texans-Jaguars contest. Then again, if the Saints win, when Houston tops Tennessee next week, it's Houston to the playoffs.

 

Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers (even)

Both teams suck. But this might be the Chargers' last game in San Diego.

San Diego by 2

The Chargers were tough against the Chiefs, but the Dolphins offense should be good enough to see to it that Miami wins.

 

I'm still thinking on Chicago and, as unbelievable as it is, San Francisco for possible upsets. I must also say that I have no idea how Baltimore has won 4 games.

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Posted

To comment on MSP's contrarian picks: 

Indeed, the Texans are starting a third string QB that's won a playoff game in T. J. Yates. While the Colts' third string, Whitehurst, was doing what? :scratch:  That might be enough to pick the Texans. :lol:  

Miami has problems in the secondary, due to injuries and lack of talent. That's why the Chargers have a shot, and since it's their final game in San Diego, as well as the last game for some of the veterans like Gates, etc., it'll be enough to inspire them to a farewell gift for the Diegans. 

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Posted (edited)

I actually enjoyed the Lions vs. Saints, bc the Saints made a run at tying or pulling ahead at the last minute.

 

#655

Edited by maddog

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Posted

I actually enjoyed the Lions vs. Saints, bc the Saints made a run at tying or pulling ahead at the last minute.

That did make the game more enjoyable, but the Saints are defensively hopeless for the foreseeable future.

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