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2015 NFL Week 16 Picks


5 posts in this topic

Posted

There seems to be an inordinate amount of Lame games this week, what with the playoffs right around the corner. Even though the playoff picture remains unsettled, there's just too many teams dead in the water, polluting the schedule.

 

Hopefully you all will have a great Holiday break this week.

:cheers:

 

Game of the Week

Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals (-4.5)

Both teams have already qualified for the playoffs, but the Cards can nail down a bye week with a win. The Packers are still chasing the NFC North division. It's just too bad that the Cards' top defensive back, Mathieu won't be back until next season. And here comes QB Rodgers! :freakout1:

Arizona by 3

 

Thursday Game of the Week

The Next Los Angeles Team @ the Retro Los Angeles Team (-5.5)

Will anyone even show up for these teams, with their feet out the door, bags packed, etc.? However, the retro LA team has plenty of talent that promises to improve next season. The Next LA team rode a wave of nostalgia last week in their blowout win over the Dolphins in San Diego. Also, this will be the great Charles Woodson's final game at Oakland. :salut: 

Retro Los Angeles team by

 

Rest of the Week

Washington Ethnic Taunt @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)

With the NFC Easy title on the line, the Taunt need this game, while the Eagles need this and next week. After all the Taunt ran allover the Eagles back in week 4, and the defense got to QB Bradford easily. WR DeSean Jackson will be back to terrorize the Eagles' secondary. Advantage to the Taunt. Then again, they're back on the road, and QB Cousins is overdue for a letdown. Advantage to the Eagles.

Washington by 3

 

 

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (+7)

What is nominally a Lame of the Week is actually a historic game: can the Falcons, who, shockingly, are still in the playoff race, play David to the Goliath of Carolina? Last week was a classic trap game for the Panthers, as they blew a 28 point lead to the Giants. But they survived. Now it is a matter of health vs momentum, whether the Panthers keep playing hard or play it safe and rest certain players. However, the Falcons are intimately familiar with the Panthers.

UPSET POTENTIAL: Atlanta by 3

:troll: 

 

New England Patriots @ New York Jets (+3.5)

While the Patriots need this for the first seed, the Jets need to keep apace of the Chiefs and the Steelers for the wild card. It's just too bad that the Jets have won only twice in their last 9 games vs the Patriots.

New England by 6

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos (-3.5)

Backup QB McCarron didn't shit himself last week, but the Broncos defense will not be kind in the slightest. However, the Broncos' replacement QB, Osweiler, has had trouble scoring in the second halves of games for 3 weeks.

Denver by 3

 

Lame of the Week

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (+10.5)

What used to be the best and nastiest rivalry is now a standard Lame of the Week. If the Steelers could drop 34 points and 354 yards passing on the number one ranked pass defense, what records will be broken in this game? They're fielding a M.A.S.H. unit out there with third stringers and castoff against the most powerful passing attack in the league. It will get ugly real fast.

:behead:

Pittsburgh by 21

 

 

Dallas Cowboys @ Buffalo Bills (-6)

Backup to Backup QB Kellen Moore wasn't so bad last week, but the Bills are much better at home.

:boring:

Buffalo by 6

 

Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

While QB Winston is having a great rookie year (3000 yards passing and 20 touchdowns), the Buccaneers are too undisciplined (first in NFL with 134 penalties). Both teams are stuck in mediocrity - not quite good, but not quite terrible.

Tampa Bay by 3

 

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5)

As the first team in NFL history to blow their first 5, but win their next 8, the Chiefs are the team that nobody wants to play - or talk about, either. They still have a shot at the AFC West division, thanks to the backsliding Broncos, and will not lose focus. Not against a suckass team from Cleveland. :finger: 

Kansas City by 10

 

Indianapolis Colts @ Miami Dolphins (even)

QB Luck can come back and help the Colts win the last two games for the playoffs. No matter who wins this game, both coaches will be fired.

Indianapolis by 3

 

The Current Houston team @ The Old Houston team (even)

Both teams will be playing their backup quarterbacks in Weeden & Mettenberger. The current Houston team needs this game to stay ahead of the Colts in the AFC South. As for the Old Houston team, cursed with the incompetence of QB Mettenberger, they will not be able to do anything against that ferocious defense spearheaded by J. J. Watt.

Current Houston by 7

 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

No, the Jags haven't won in the Superdome, but this is a perfect opportunity: the Saints have blown 9 of their last 12 home games, and given up 40 points and near 450 yards a game in their last 4. Plus the Jags deploy a competent passing machine with Bortles and a fleet of receivers. Hey, is QB Brees even suiting up after a torn plantar fascia?

Jacksonville by 6

 

St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-13.5)

After 7 wins in the last 8 games, the Legion of BOOM Seahawks are officially back, baby! With QB Wilson at MVP level, and owing the Rams payback for that upset back in week 1, the pick is easy. FYI, the Rams have checked out mentally. If I was forced to resort to Case Keenum at CenturyLink, I'd mentally check out too.

Seattle by 17

 

 

New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)

The Vikings can nail the NFC North by grabbing both final games. As for the Giants, they still have a shot at the NFC Easy division, but they'll have to go without ODB, Jr. Luckily, the Vikings don't have the tools to exploit the Giants' pathetic secondary. Then again, their passing attack is below average without the presence of ODB.

Vikings by 4

 

Shame of the Week

San Francisco 40 Whiners @ Detroit Lions (-7.5)

While the Lions are still kicking themselves over two clutch defeats to Seahawks and the Packers, the 40 Whiners have mailed it in.

Detroit by 6

 

 

Last Week: 12-4

Season to Date: 139-84

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Posted

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

No, the Jags haven't won in the Superdome, but this is a perfect opportunity: the Saints have blown 9 of their last 12 home games, and given up 40 points and near 450 yards a game in their last 4. Plus the Jags deploy a competent passing machine with Bortles and a fleet of receivers. Hey, is QB Brees even suiting up after a torn plantar fascia?

Jacksonville by 6

Brees, of course, wants to play. Payton is saying they're taking it day to day. The question is, if Brees does not play, do the Saints start Flynn? Or do they go with rookie QB Grayson? Betcha they go with Flynn. After all, he has been deemed the back-up since he was signed. In the end, it doesn't matter. Brees was obviously hobbling during the game on Monday night, and that foot can only feel worse since then. The Jaguars like to throw deep; the Saints still don't have a FS. Well, yeah, they have Byrd, and that's at best like not having a FS. So, Jacksonville wins.

 

On to the contrarian picks.

 

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (+7)

What is nominally a Lame of the Week is actually a historic game: can the Falcons, who, shockingly, are still in the playoff race, play David to the Goliath of Carolina? Last week was a classic trap game for the Panthers, as they blew a 28 point lead to the Giants. But they survived. Now it is a matter of health vs momentum, whether the Panthers keep playing hard or play it safe and rest certain players. However, the Falcons are intimately familiar with the Panthers.

UPSET POTENTIAL: Atlanta by 3

:troll: 

I understand the thinking behind this upset pick, but it's always risky to rest starters this early. So, Rivera throws the other pair of dice, risks starters' health for one more week, and Carolina wins.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos (-3.5)

Backup QB McCarron didn't shit himself last week, but the Broncos defense will not be kind in the slightest. However, the Broncos' replacement QB, Osweiler, has had trouble scoring in the second halves of games for 3 weeks.

Denver by 3

Here's my upset pick: Although McCarron is an Alabama product, it is possible that he will improve with every bit of added experience; so, I'll go with the expectation that Osweiler continues to deliver his now standard second half performance so that Cincinnati wins. After all, it's not like the Bengals defense is bad. In fact, statistically, they are far better than what Osweiler faced last game. Denver is a pretender. Cincinnati might win a playoff game if Dalton comes back.

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Posted

Read that Ellerbe is out -- yet again. He kinda played the last game looking like he was hurt. Bortles should have a big day tomorrow.

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Posted

How about them Dirty Birds?!! :lol: 

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Posted

How about them Dirty Birds?!! :lol: 

Them Dirty Birds shouldn't get too excited. Or, in the alternative, they should relish their brief moment of fun. Because the Saints will pluck them come Sunday!!!!! (That is, if the Falcons make the same mistake as Jacksonville did and fail to go at Browner early and often.)

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